Formula
Churn = Lost ÷ Cohort · Remainingₙ = Cohort × (1 − Churn)ⁿ
FAQ
What's a half-life?
The number of periods until half the cohort is gone. A 4% monthly churn rate implies a half-life around 17 months.
Is constant churn realistic?
As a planning baseline, yes. Mature cohorts often churn slower than new ones, so this projection is conservative for established customers.